Century Aluminum Valuation

CENX Stock  USD 51.56  0.65  1.24%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Century Aluminum shows a prevailing Real Value of $50.23 per share. The current price of the firm is $51.56. Our model approximates the value of Century Aluminum from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 5.34 B, profit margin of 0.02 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0175 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Century Aluminum's valuation include:
Price Book
6.4866
Enterprise Value
5.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
27.2529
Price Sales
1.9038
Trailing PE
61.381
Fairly Valued
Today
51.56
Please note that Century Aluminum's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Century Aluminum is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Century Aluminum's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Century Aluminum is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Century Stock. However, Century Aluminum's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  51.56 Real  50.23 Target  63.33 Hype  47.67 Naive  52.18
The intrinsic value of Century Aluminum's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Century Aluminum's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
50.23
Real Value
54.13
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Century Aluminum helps investors to forecast how Century stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Century Aluminum more accurately as focusing exclusively on Century Aluminum's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.711.862.02
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.7747.6751.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
48.2852.1856.08
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
57.6363.3370.30
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Century Aluminum's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Century Aluminum's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Century Aluminum's closest peers.

Century Aluminum Cash

101.58 Million

Century Revenue by Product

Century Aluminum Total Value Analysis

Century Aluminum is currently estimated to have valuation of 5.34 B with market capitalization of 4.81 B, debt of 548.3 M, and cash on hands of 64.8 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Century Aluminum fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.34 B
4.81 B
548.3 M
64.8 M

Century Aluminum Investor Information

About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of September 2002. Century Aluminum is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to report excellent financial results in March.

Century Aluminum Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Century Aluminum has an asset utilization ratio of 110.86 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.11 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Century Aluminum is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Century Aluminum Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Century Aluminum's profitability measurements, Century Aluminum is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess Century Aluminum's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1996-03-31
Previous Quarter
14.9 M
Current Value
1.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
84.1 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Century Aluminum's Gross Profit is fairly stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to rise to 0 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.07 in 2026.
For Century Aluminum profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Century Aluminum to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Century Aluminum utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Century Aluminum's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Century Aluminum over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Century Aluminum Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Century Aluminum is estimated to be 1.865 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.71 to a high of 2.02. Century Aluminum's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.84. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Century Aluminum is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Century Aluminum is projected to generate 1.865 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Century Aluminum earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Century Aluminum EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Century Aluminum's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Century Aluminum, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Century Aluminum Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Century Aluminum's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Century Aluminum is estimated to be 1.865 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.71 to a high of 2.02. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Century Aluminum is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.25
1.71
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.865
2.02
Highest

Century Aluminum Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Century Aluminum's value are higher than the current market price of the Century Aluminum stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Century Aluminum is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Century Aluminum's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
352.45%
1.25
1.865
0.84

Century Aluminum Ownership Allocation

Century Aluminum holds a total of 93.34 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Century Aluminum's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Also note that nearly four million four hundred fifteen thousand seventy-five invesors are currently shorting Century Aluminum expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Century Aluminum Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.53 B. Net Income was 15.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 256.4 M.

About Century Aluminum Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Century Aluminum. We calculate exposure to Century Aluminum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Century Aluminum's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit256.4 M269.2 M
Operating Profit Margin 0.06  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Gross Profit Margin 0.10  0.07 

Century Aluminum Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.956

Century Aluminum Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Century Aluminum and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Century we look at many different elements of the entity such as Century's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Century Aluminum, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Century Aluminum's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Century Aluminum's worth.

Additional Tools for Century Stock Analysis

When running Century Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Century Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Century Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.